Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Welcome, friend

This blog was birthed to create a place to mash topics about America's pastime and America's engine. We'll serve different roles on this blog, between discussing the topics we know and asking questions about the ones we don't. On this magical tour, I'll be guiding you through the baseball world while my counterparts will separately tackle politics and 'junk'. Part blog and part Q&A, it's not your average blog. Okay, maybe it is.

I've realized that the Extra Innings package is crack to the already baseball addled mind. The ability to flip back and forth between games with the greatest of ease increases my baseball ADD. But in an enjoyable way.

But all this does is give me the option to either enjoy the best game of the night (in this case, Cubs/Brewers) or feed my fantasy baseball addiction. But that's for another day. Tonight, the Cubs are in line to stretch their lead to four games over the Brew Crew. The games have had a playoff atmosphere and good pitching matchups (although Dempster v Parra isn't the crown jewel of the evening) but these are teams with vastly different profiles. Let's explore together.

Looking behind the won loss record, the Cubs have been the far superior team. They currently have a +118 run differential (runs scores minus runs against) which is the best in the National League by 48 runs. I don't need to tell you; that's silly. The Brewers on the other hand have a +22 run differential. Hmm. It's a simplified way of looking at their results, but baseball prospectus puts the Cubs odds at winning the division at 73%, largely based on their ability to put runs across the plate and keep opponents off the board. The Brewers odds to win the division are 21% (but with 44% odds to claim the wild card).

No comments: